Survey shows South Africa’s ANC may take lead in 2019 elections

In 2014, the ANC received 62 %, DA 22 % and the EFF 6 % of the national vote.
A street vendor sells regalia outside the venue for the African National Congress (ANC) 107th anniversary celebrations at the Moses Mabhida Stadium in Durban on January 12, 2019. – South African President unveils the ANC’s election manifesto on January 12, 2019 with pledges to transform the economy and fight corruption as the ruling party tries to woo voters. The African National Congress (ANC), which has ruled since the end of apartheid 25 years ago, is tipped to win the election in May despite faltering support, internal divisions and a sluggish economy. (Photo by RAJESH JANTILAL / AFP)

A survey by Ipsos, a global market research and consulting firm, shows 61 percent of registered voters are likely to vote for the ANC in the 2019 poll.

In the latest opinion poll ahead of the election on 8 May, Ipsos predicts the DA will clinch 16% of the national vote, followed by the EFF at 9%.

The FF and the IFP will get 1% respectively, the poll said.

The poll, however, noted that “The voters’ roll compiled by the IEC contains 26,774,102 names of South Africans who are registered to vote, meaning that more than 10 million South Africans of voting age have chosen not to register and therefore not to vote in this election.”

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“This can probably be attributed to the facts that of all South Africans eligible to vote, a quarter (25%) are not interested in politics and elections and almost four in every ten (38%) say that there is no political party expressing their views.”

“11% of registered voters answered that they would not vote, would not vote for a current party, refused to answer or didn’t know which party they would vote for,” Ipsos said.

The ANC scored well on the trust index.

“If we only take these trust indices into account, it seems as if the ANC is improving their position amongst voters, while the DA and the EFF still have issues to convince bigger proportions of voters to support them.

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The picture differs dramatically when looking at the levels of trust supporters of the different parties have in their own party of choice,” the poll said.

In 2014, the ANC received 62 %, DA 22 % and the EFF 6 % of the national vote.


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